Poland plays host to Estonia on Thursday, March 21 at 3:45 pm est at PGE Narodowy, in Warsaw Poland as part of Path A to reach the Euros with the winner playing Wales or Finland next week. With Poland hugely favored in the Poland vs Estonia odds, we break down the best way to bet this match in our Poland vs Estonia prediction.
Estonia was last in their Euro Qualifying Group (the only last place team here in playoffs) at 0-1-7 and were outscored 22-2 but were top of their UNL Group in 2022/23. But, they were top of UNL Group D. Playoff teams were to be winners of Leagues A, B and C, unless those teams were already qualified and with less than four teams from Group A, the next spot went to winner of Group D. So Estonia are super longshots here having qualified for these playoffs by the most unlikely of scenarios.
Poland was 3rd in the Group Stage at 3-2-3, 10 GF, 10 GA, but being in Group A of the UNL get them here.
Poland vs Estonia Odds
Estonia are the biggest longshots to get a win of any team on Thursday with +800 odds to advance and +1400 odds to win in regulation.
- Poland -600
- Draw +700
- Estonia +1400
- Poland to advance -1400
- Estonia to advance +800
- Over 2.5 -150
- Under 2.5 +115
- BTTS Yes +175
- BTTS No -250
Poland vs Estonia Head-to-Head
There have been six all-time meetings but none since 2012. Poland is 5-0-1, but that one Estonia win did come in that last meeting in 2012.
Poland has not lost a home Euro Qualifying game since 2006. They are 15-5-0 in that time, have scored in 19/20 of those games and scored multiple goals in 14/20. Overall they are undefeated in four games, have just two losses in nine and just five losses in 16, while scoring in 13 of those games.
Oddly, it was 39-year-old Konstantin Vassiljev who scored the winning for Estonia back in 2012 and he’s still on the team now, and is tied for their longest-serving player.
They have not won in 11 games at 0-2-9, have conceded in all 11 and conceded multiple goals in eight of those 11 games.
Poland vs Estonia Prediction
Poland has players from top leagues all over Europe, including Barcelona man Robert Lewandowski, something Estonia can not say the same about. This should be an easy Poland win as there is a big class difference here. The Poland vs Estonia best bets could be Poland -1.5 or -2.5 but just in case Estonia manages to score, let’s just ask Poland to score three goals.
- Poland vs Estonia Best Bet: Poland to score Over 2.5 goals (+110)
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
