Best Europa League Predictions – Quarterfinals Leg 1 (April 11)

AC Milan vs AS Roma Preview

It’s one of four Europa League Leg 1 games at 3pm EST and it’s an all-Serie A matchup and we have the top AC Milan vs Roma prediction here to go with Europa League predictions for all four games following.

In the Round of 16 AC Milan beat Slavia Prague 4-2 in Leg 1 and 3-1 in Leg 2, though Slavia did take red a card in both games.

Roma put things out of reach in Leg 1 versus Brighton winning 4-0, before losing 1-0 in Leg 2 in a game they didn’t need to win.

AC Milan vs AS Roma Odds

Here are the full Milan vs Roma odds for each team in Leg 1.

  • Milan -125
  • Draw +260
  • Roma +350
  • AC Milan to advance -225
  • Roma to advance +162
  • Over 2.5 +110
  • Under 2.5 -143
  • BTTS Yes +100
  • BTTS No -134

AC Milan vs Roma Head to Head

These Serie A rivals obviously have tons of history. They’ve played twice this season with Milan winning 2-1 in Rome and also 3-1 in Milan. Milan is now 7-2-0 and undefeated in 9 versus Roma while BTTS Yes has cashed in 8 straight and in 11/12. AC Milan hasn’t failed to score versus Roma in 13 games, not since 2017.

While Ac Milan won’t catch Inter Milan for the title, they look solidly in 2nd place at 21-5-5 in Serie A, 6 points above Juventus in 3rd. At home in Serie A they are 1/4 teams to have only allowed 8 goals. They’re 11-2-2, scoring 26, with 8 allowed in 16 home games. In their last game on the weekend at home on Saturday they beat Lecce 3-0.

AC Milan have now won 7 straight in all competitions, outscoring opponents 17-5 in that time, while being undefeated in 8, with only 3 losses in 20. They have also scored in 29 straight games.

In the Europa League, Milan’s short time in the tournament versus Slavia Prague and Rennes, the Over 2.5 has gone 4-0 and Over 2.5 and BTTS is 3-1.

Roma have surged up the table in recent weeks to 5th in Italy, at 16-7-8, and are now 3 points back of Bologna for 4th. They just beat Lazio 1-0 at home on April 5 in their last game. That’s their 3rd third straight clean sheet, also drawing 0-0 and winning 1-0, but that’s also only 2 goals scored in 3 games with two opponents being Sassuolo and Lecce.

Still, Roma has just 1 loss in 10 and 2 losses in 15. Roma have scored in 14/16 in all competitions as well.

In Roma’s Europa League games this tournament they have gone 6-2-2, scoring in 8/10 games.

AC Milan vs AS Roma Prediction

Let’s look at the top soccer picks. AC Milan is always scoring, but they did allow 3 goals in 2 legs to Slavia Prague who were down a man in both games. Roma can score too, albeit not in recent games, but I can still see a goal from each which usually happens when they meet up for my Milan vs Roma prediction.

  • Europa League Picks: Both Teams to Score Yes (+100)

Bayer Leverkusen vs West Ham Preview

The most impressive team in Europe takes on EPL side West Ham here at 3pm EST Thursday in Germany at the Bay Arena. Will Bayer Leverkusen come out on top in our Europa League predictions?

Leverkusen drew 2-2 in Azerbaijan versus Qarabag in Leg 1 in the Round of 16 and needed a 92’ minute goal to do so. Even back at home in Germany in Leg 2 and up a man, they still struggled to put aside Qarabag being down 3-2 until goals in the 93’ and 97’ minutes gave them a 3-2 win and saw them advance without needing extra time.

West Ham lost away to Freiburg in Leg 1 but routed the Bundesliga side 5-0 back in England in Leg 2 to advance.

Bayer Leverkusen vs West Odds

The odds say Leverkusen is likely to win this game in the Europa League predictions as they’re -225 to win on the moneyline.

  • Leverkusen -225
  • Draw +350
  • West Ham 600
  • Leverkusen to advance -334
  • West Ham to advance +240
  • Over 2.5 -167
  • Unde 2.5 +130
  • BTTS Yes -134
  • BTTS No +100

Bayer Leverkusen vs West Ham Head to Head

These teams have essentially never met, aside from one 4-0 Leverkusen win in a friendly, though that was recent, in August of last year.

Bayer Leverkusen are sitting 16 points clear of Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, and Leverkusen are having a remarkable year, as still the only team in the top five leagues to be undefeated in any match. In the Bundesliga they are 24-4-0 and just won 1-0 away to Union Berlin on the weekend, but through a PK and Union took a red card so were down a man for half of the game.

That pushes their undefeated run in all comps to 40 games and the treble is now in their sights.

Only once in that time have they failed to score and they’ve won 6 straight and 12/13, scoring multiple goals 12/13 as well.

Of course, Bayer is undefeated in the UEL at 7-1-0, while outscoring opponents 24-7.

West Ham is coming off a win themselves, 2-1 away to Wolves, now 7th in the EPL on 48 points, 1 back of Man U but 12 back of 5th place Villa.

But that was their first win in 3 games, second in 7 and only fourth in 17. They’ve scored in 8/9 but conceded in 15/16 while BTTS is 7-2 in their past 9. On the road West Ham have only kept 1 clean sheet in 11 games all competitions.

The Hammers’ UEL form has been good at 6-0-2, scoring in 7/8 and keeping 4 clean sheets.

Bayer Leverkusen vs West Ham Prediction

Leverkusen has scored 3+ goals and won in all 4 home UEL games this term. They lost attacker Adam Hlozek on the weekend to injury, but gained back Victor Boniface.

Meanwhile, West Ham lost attacker Jarrod Bowen, the team’s leading scorer with a spinal bruise this weekend and he’ll likely miss out.

With this run they’re on, it’s hard to not back Bayer Leverkusen, but they are leaving games late to win of late and have just barely kept this streak going in many games. A Bayer Leverkusen win or Leverkusen Over 1.5 team goals are both around -200, so it’s hard to get value in your Europa League picks without asking West Ham to score, but with no Bowen that could be risking. You can create a same-game parlay with Leverkusen to win and 2+ match goals at -150 odds at Caesars Sportsbook though. Let’s use that for our Europa League predictions for this game.

  • Europa League Picks: Bayer Leverkusen to win and 2+ match goals (-150)

Benfica vs Marseille Preview

It’s Portugal versus France here in this UEL game at 3pm EST on Thursday and we have the best Benfica vs Marseille prediction here for your Europa League picks.

Benfica drew 2-2 in Portugal with Rangers in Leg 1 and edged out a 1-0 road win in Leg 2 to advance from Round of 16.

For Ligue 1 outfit Marseille, they jumped out to a big lead in Leg 1 winning 4-0 versus Villarreal, but kept it interesting in Leg 2 losing 3-1 on the road in Spain.

Benfica vs Marseille Odds

The Benfica vs Marseille odds make Benfica -125 home favorites on Thursday to get the win in Europs League predictions.

  • Benfica -125
  • Draw+260
  • Marseille +350
  • Benfica to advance -188
  • Marseille to advance +137
  • Over 2.5 -138
  • Under 2.5 +107
  • BTTS Yes -150
  • BTTS No +110

Benfica vs Marseille Head to Head

There have been four all-time meetings, but not much recent worth mentioning for betting purposes. They met in a 2021 friendly and drew 1-1. Benfica won 2-0 in a 2012 friendly and they last met in the UEL in 2010, a 1-1 draw in Portugal and a 2-1 Benfica win in France.

For Benfica, their title hopes took a hit this weekend losing 2-1 to Sporting, now putting them 4 points back of the leaders in Portugal. It is though just their third loss in the league at 21-4-3.

Benfica has failed to win in 2 games, but both to Sporting, also drawing them 2-2 in the Cup. In fact, they’ve been near perfect versus teams not named Sporting, as they have just 3 losses in 17 and 2 came versus Sporting, the other versus Porto, and 1/4 draws in that time also came versus Sporting.

At home Benfica has just 1 loss in all comps, a PK loss in the Taca da Liga after drawing 1-1 in their past 19 games.

After a slow start in Ligue 1, Marseille has risen to 8th in Ligue 1 at 10-9-9, but lost 3-1 away to Lille this weekend and have now lost 3 straight in the league. They have been the league’s worst road team though all season at 2-4-8, outscored 24-17.

Add in the last Europa League loss to Villarreal and Marseille have now lost 4 straight and outside of a 5-game win streak earlier this year, they have just those 5 wins in the last 16 games.

Benfica vs Marseille Prediction

Benfica are certainly having the better season and at home at Estadio da Luz, plus with Marseille’s poor road form and missing likes of Michael Murillo, Bilal Nadir, Valentin Rongier, Pedro Ruiz and Chancel Mbemba to injury, will make the Portuguese side the best bet in our soccer betting tips.

  • Europa League Picks: Benfica win (-125)

Liverpool vs Atalanta Preview

Here we have two attacking teams meeting up with Liverpool from the EPL, hosting Atalanta from Serie A in Europa League action at 3pm EST Thursday. Below we’ll break down the odds and best Liverpool vs Atalanta predictions.

It was 5-1 Liverpool in Leg 1 away in Sparta Prague and even without needing the win in Leg 2 they routed them and won big again, this time 6-1 at home to advance 11-2 on aggregate.

Serie A side Atalanta drew Sporting Lisbon 1-1 in Leg 1, and won 2-1 at home in Italy in Leg 2 to advance.

Liverpool vs Atalanta Odds

Liverpool come in heavily favored to win in at -300 in the Liverpool vs Atalanta odds.

  • Liverpool -300
  • Draw +450
  • Atalanta +700
  • Liverpool to advance -500
  • Atalanta to advance +333
  • Over 2.5 -225
  • Under 2.5 +170
  • BTTS Yes -143
  • BTTS No +105

Liverpool vs Atalanta Head to Head

This is just the 3rd game between them with their only meetings coming in the 2020 Champions League where both won on the road, Liverpool 5-0 and Atalanta 2-0 in leg 2.

Liverpool are battling for top of the EPL table, but a 2-2 draw with Man U this weekend saw them give up 1st to Arsenal. Still, they’re tied with the Gunners with 71 points and they have only 2 EPL losses all year at 21-8-2 and are undefeated at home at 13-3-0.

A 4-3 road loss in extra-time to Man U in the FA Cup and a 3-1 road loss to Arsenal in the EPL are only their 2 only losses for Liverpool in their last 25 games in all competitions and no home they have no losses at all since February 21, 2023 versus Real Madrid in the Champions League.

During this season’s Europa League, Liverpool is 6-0-2 and have outscored opponents 28-7.

Atalanta suffered a surprising loss this weekend to Cagliari, 2-1. They are 6th in Serie A at 15-5-10. Their road games have seen a ton of goals in Italy, averaging 3.0 per game, the 3rd most on the road.

But most Atalanta games have seen goals of late with Over 2.5 going 9-3. BTTS Yes is 5-2 as well. Atalanta only has 2 wins in 9 overall games but, only twice in 18 games have they not scored.

Atalanta has yet to lose in this tournament at 5-3-0, scoring in all 8 games, but BTTS is 5-3.

Liverpool vs Atalanta Prediction

Liverpool have only 3 clean sheets in 17 games, with BTTS being on a 7-0 run.

Atalanta has only failed to score 4 times in 22 road games all comps this season. So this could line up to be an exciting game with goal when considering the best soccer betting tips.

Liverpool are rightly favored, but do have the EPL title to consider and need to win versus Palace this weekend to stay in the race. They have scored 2+ goals now in 5 straight games, but are also likely still without Alisson, Trent Alexander Arnold and Diogo Jota to injuries.

For Atalanta, they too are out a key piece on defense in Giorgio Scalvini. This looks like a game where goals should be coming from both sides so let’s back both teams scoring for our Liverpool vs Atalanta Europa League predictions.

  • Europa League Picks: Both Team to Score Yes (-140)

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