In this weekend’s soccer predictions we’ll cover 8 games and 3 parlays across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga.
Soccer Picks and Parlays #1
Fulham vs Brighton Prediction
Fulham sits 1 spot higher and 1 point more than Brighton in the table (11th vs 12th).
Fulham fell away to Leeds last week 1-0, the first loss they’d suffered in 6 overall matches and the first time they didn’t score in 12. They’ve conceded in 5 straight and 10/12.
Brighton drew Bournemouth 1-1 to extend their undefeated streak to 5, but at just 2-3-0. They’ve scored in 6 straight but conceded in 5/6 and 9/11.
Both have seen a fair amount of BTTS games this season in the Premier League, with Brighton 68% (2nd-most) and Fulham 59% (5th-most).
That was the case when they last met, a 1-1 draw in August, now making BTTS bets 3-0 and 4-1 in their recent matchups.
- Soccer Picks: BTTS
Man City vs Wolves Prediction
Man City beat Wolves 4-0 back in August and have won 4 in a row and 10/11 vs Wolves.
But they’re currently on a 2-game slide. First losing 2-0 to Man U last week, and then losing 3-1 in Norway in the UCL vs Bodo/Glimt. So embarrassed were some players by the loss, that some, like Haaland and Rodri have raised around £10,000 to refund away fans who travelled to the game.
Man City have conceded in 5/6, so given this dip in form and Wolves mild revival, betting on Man City to win and BTTS could be an option.
Wolves are undefeated in 5 (2-3-0), drew Newcastle 0-0 last week and have scored in 7/9. But they’ve been battered away from home at 0-3-8 and outscored 18-5. They have both scored the fewest EPL goals and been shut out the most times in league play.
It’s really hard to see City not getting back on track here. And maybe some goals from Haaland, Foden, Semenyo or Reijnders. It’s worth a note though that Foden is scoreless in 9 and Haaland not so from open play in 8. Haaland though, has 10 goals vs Wolves in his career, including 2 in the August 4-0 win.
But this is still their worst run in some time in the EPL, where failing to win this weekend would be the first time since 2009 they went winless in 5 EPL games.
- Soccer Picks: Man City win and score over 1.5
- Parlay Picks: FUL vs BRI btts / MCI win and score O1.5 (+123)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #2
Bayern Munich vs Augsburg Prediction
This season Bayern have 1 loss all year, scored multiple goals in 28/29 and have now scored 3+ goals in 3/4 games. In the Bundesliga, they’ve scored 2+ in 26 straight league games going back into last season. All that said, they don’t often keep clean sheets and sometimes start slow. In recent games they have given up at least 1 in 11/14 overall matches.
This week in the UCL, Bayer were drawn 0-0 with USG at the half. They started the 2nd half on fire with 2 quick goals from Kane and they likely would have scored 3 again. But Kim took a red, Kane missed a PK even while down a man, and Olise missed a clear-cut chance too.
Augsburg are just above the drop zone by 3 pts, sitting 15th. They’re winless in 5 matches (0-2-3) and have drawn their last two by 1-1 and 2-2 scores. Augsburg on the road are 1-1-7 and outscored 17-8 so shouldn’t trouble Bayern too much.
Bayern won 3-2 this year already, has won 7 straight and all in high-scoring fashion: 3-2, 3-1, 3-0, 3-2, 3-1, 5-3 and 5-2. That’s 3+ goals in all 7, while Augsburg scored in 7 of the past 8.
- Soccer Picks: Bayern to win and score 2+
Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim Prediction
In August it was 3-1 Frankfurt on the road. And amazingly it’s extended a streak that has cashed BTTS & Over 2.5 bets to a 12-0 mark, while the BTTS is 16-1.
Frankfurt games usually go that way no matter who they play. Their last 5, none wins, are 1-1, 3-3, 3-2 (L), 3-3 and 3-2 (L). The last one came away in Azerbaijan in the UCL this week with them losing in the final seconds to Qarabag. They had sacked head coach Dino Toppmoller, leaving U21 and U19 coaches Dennis Schmitt and Alexander Meier in charge for now.
Frankfurt have won just 1/10 so they’re hard to back against Hoffenheim who have only lost 1/12 in regulation. The offense and defense are clicking lately in a 4-1 win, 0-0 draw, 5-1 win and 1-0 win over Leverkusen last weekend.
If picking a winner, it would have to be Hoffenheim, but history says there’s usually goals between them, in a matchup between team separate by just 120km.
- Soccer Picks: BTTS
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction
Villarreal were shut out away in Betis last weekend 2-0, but they’re 3rd in the table and the 3rd-highest scorers in La Liga. It was another loss in the UCL in midweek play as well losing 2-1 to Ajax, knokcing them out of the tournament. That leaves them with just 2 wins in 7 overall games. So despite a strong start, the Yellow Submarine seem to be cooling off.
But it’s always hard to know what Madrid team you’re getting lately. They lost 3-2 to both Barca and Albacete, then beat Levante 2-0 and Monaco in the UCL 6-1, but hardly top teams in those recent wins.
Madrid won in this matchup 3-1 in October and are 4-1-0 in the last 5. Historically, Los Blancos have only ever lost 6/54 matchups.
But this matchup typically produces goals: 3-1, 2-1, 2-0, 4-4, 4-1, 3-2, 3-2, and 2-1.
Madrid should win, or maybe Madrid to win and BTTS but it’s hard to know what to expect in interim coach Alvaro Arbeloa’s 4th game. It may be safer to bet on goals from both.
- Soccer Picks: BTTS
- Parlay Picks: BM win and to score O1.5 / EF vs HOF btts / VIL vs RM btts (+168)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #3
Barcelona vs Real Oviedo Prediction
We don’t need to go too in-depth here. Barca are 1st, and Oviedo 20th in La Liga. Barca slipped up last weekend losing 2-1 to Sociedad. They then fell behind to Slavia Praha in the UCL, but stormed back to win 4-2 with goals by Olmo, Lewandowski and 2 from Lopez. It’s wins in 12/13 where they’ve scored multiple goals in all of the wins.
It was a typical Barca game when these team mets in September, a 3-1 Barca win.
Oviedo hasn’t won any match in any competition in 14 games, bit they do manage a ton of draws at 0-7-7 in that time and drawing 3/4. Last week was 3-2 loss to Osasuna, but previously they drew Betis and Alaves 1-1. That’s a boatload of goals for Ovideo considering they had gone goalless in 7 games previously.
- Soccer Picks: BAR to win and score over 1.5
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Prediction
Sociedad will come in with tons of confidence after beating Barcelona 2-1 last week. They’re now undefeated in 6, have scored in all 6 with 2 goals in each of their past 3 and have scored in 15/16. They often concede, doing so in 8 straight and in 12/13. Obviously BTTS is killing it at 7-0 and 11-2.
Celta will also show up with confidence but maybe some tired legs. They played in the UEL on Thursday and went up 1-0 over Lille. They took a red in the first half, still took a 2-0 lead, and only conceded late to win 2-1. The win is huge, but they’ll have short rest and played over half the game a player down.
Celta is a Spanish team that is hard to judge overall. They’ve only lost 4 times in La Liga, but have a tons of draws at 8-8-4, but that’s good enough for 7th. 60% of their games have hit the BTTS. But, recently they have clean sheets in 3/5 and 5/9 and are undefeated in 7 games across all matches (in regulation).
This has not been a high-scoring matchup. They drew 1-1 in October and Celta won 2-0 and 1-0 last year. The Under 2.5 has gone 6-1 in the last 7.
- Soccer Picks: Soceidad to score
Juventus vs Napoli Prediction
Juve were 7 games without a loss before losing 1-0 to Cagliari last week. But, Juve had 78%, and led in shots 22-2 and shots on target 7-2. They got back in the win column vs Benfica in the UCL this week winning 2-0. The Cagliari games in the only time in 14 they didn’t score, while scoring multiple goals in 9/13.
Napoli could only draw Copenhagen 1-1 in the UCL this week, but it extends their undefeated streak to 9 (5-4-0). It’s been 4 draws in their last 5, and their last 3 has seen next to no goals at 0-0, 1-0, 1-1. They have clean sheets in 6/9 as well.
It’s usually tight. And Napoli has the upper hand of late. Napoli won 2-1 in December with 2 Holjlund goals. They’re 3-1-0 in the last 4. There’s only been more than 3 goals between them once in 14. And only once in 11 has anyone won by more than 1.
Juve still haven’t lost at home this year in Serie A at 6-4-0 and have scored 20, while allowing just 8. Looking at all matches, they’re also undefeated in 15 home matches.
- Soccer Picks: Juve to score
- Parlay Picks: BAR win & score 2+ / SOC to score / JUV to score (+109)
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Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
