We’re back with more weekly soccer picks. There’s no EPL this weekend, but we have the FA Cup. We’ll cover some of that, plus, the Bundesliga, Serie A and La Liga in this weekend’s soccer picks today.
Soccer Picks and Parlays #1
Saturday soccer picks in the Bundesliga.
Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli Prediction
Anything other than a straightforward Bayern win would be shocking here. It’s 1st vs 15th.
You do have to give newcomers St. Pauli credit though for only allowing 30 goals, the 3rd fewest behind Bayern’s 24 and Mainz’s 28. It was also only 1-0 Bayern back in November.
Bayern lost Davies to a torn ACL with Canada playing in the Nations League and they return from international break winless in 2 Bundesliga games losing 3-2 to Bochum and drawing Union 1-1. They have scored multiple goals in 11 straight home Bundesliga games.
They’re also out Upamencano on defense who also injured his knee with France and keeper Neuer.
St. Pauli went into the break on a bit of a high drawing 1-1 and winning 1-0. Leading scorer Morgan Guilavogui is doubtful.
Maybe it’s not a blowout but you’d have to expect Bayern to win.
- Soccer Picks Today: Bayern Munich to win
Holstien Kiel vs Werder Bremen Prediction
18th Kiel hosts 12th Bremen.
Something these teams have in common is goals. Kiel’s games average the most in the Bundesliga at 3.9, with Bremen’s not far behind at 3.6.
Kiel is 20-6 to O2.5 and 24-2 to O1.5.
Bremen is 18–8 to O2.5 and 21-5 to O1.5.
Bremen has seen just over half, 58% of their games hit BTTS, while Kiel’s have hit at a 73% clip.
When they last played it was 2-1 Bremen in September. Bremen hasn’t done much winning lately being 1-0-6, with just 1 clean sheet, allowing multiple goals in 6 losses and being outscored 19-7. They have scored in 4 straight and 7/9 though.
Kiel doesn’t win often themselves with 1 win in 10. They’ve conceded in 17/18, multiple in 11/12 and the BTTS is 12-2 so they do usually score including 2, 0, 2, 1, 4 and 5 goals in recent home matches.
These are the 2 worst defenses in Germany so let’s back goals.
- Soccer Picks Today: Both Teams to Score
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Stuttgart Prediction
This is another game where we can likely expect goals with 4th Frankfurt and 10th Stuttgart. Frankfurt’s games average the 3rd most at 3.6 and Stuttgart’s are right behind at 3.5.
Frankfurt is 18-8 to O2.5 and Stuttgart 19-7. When it’s just 1.5 Frankfurt is 24-2 and Stuttgart 23-3.
And when it comes to BTTS bets, both are tied for the 2nd-most at 73%, only behind the 77% of Wolfsburg.
In November it was 3-2 Frankfurt and before that 3-0, 2-1 and 3-2. There’s been 3+ in their meetings in 6/7 and the BTTS is 9-1.
Frankfurt won their last 2 games before the break 4-1 and 3-1. The BTTS is now 8-1 and the BTTS & Over 2.5 is 5-0. Simply Over 2.5 is 7-0.
For Stuttgart, they’re winless in 5 with scores of 4-3, 2-2, 3-1, 1-1 and 2-1. The BTTS & Over 2.5 is 4-2 and 6-3, the BTTS is 6-0 and 8–1, they’ve scored in 9 straight and conceded in 10/11.
- Soccer Picks Today: Both Teams to Score
- Parlay Picks: Bayern to win / Kiel vs Werder btts / Frankfurt vs Stuttgart btts (+168)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #2
FA Cup action on Saturday and Sunday for this soccer parlay.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction
In the EPL Fulham is 8th with 45 points and Palace 12th with 39.
Fulham last game was a 2-0 win over Spurs and they’ve won 6/8, while only failing to score in 2/15. They often concede, allowing a goal in 14/15. In the FA Cup they beat Watford 4-1, Wigan 2-1 and Man U in PKs after a 1-1 draw.
Palace are rolling with 5 straight wins where they’ve outscored opponents 10-2 and further back are 10-2-2. They’ve rolled through the FA Cup winning 1-0, 2-0 and 3-1 but have only played Stockport, Doncaster and Millwall.
Some questions abound about both teams top players. Fulham Raul Jimenez is returning from playing with Mexico and could not start. He scored the winning PK in the Nations League Gold Medal game vs Panama.
Palace’s Mateta went to the hospital with a head injury that needs 25 stitches to his ear last month but has been cleared to train and play.
Palace won 2-0 at Craven Cottage in February. Last year Fulham won 2-0 away and they drew 1-1 in Fulham.
Two teams in good form and Fulham basically always score and concede.
- Soccer Picks Today: Both Teams to Score (-120)
Bournemouth vs Man City Prediction
This is the only trophy left for Man City, 5th in the EPL, hosting 10th Bournemouth.
Bournemouth upset City at this venue 2-1 in November. Last year City won 6-1 and 1-0. The Over 2.5 is 7-1 in their recent meetings over the years.
City have beaten up on lower opponents so far in the tournament in Salford (8-0), Leyton Orient (2-1) and Plymouth Argyle (3-1).
Overall they’ve only won 2/6 matches and come in off a 1-0 loss to Forest and 2-2 draw with Brighton.
Bournemouth are in worse form having only beaten Wolves in the FA Cup last round in PKs (1-1) as their only win in 5 games. Prior they beat Everton 2-0 and West Brom 5-1 in the tournament.
The Cherries haven’t kept the ball out of their net in 6 games but have scored in 12/14.
City have only kept 2 clean sheets in 13 games.
- Soccer Picks Today: Over 1.5
- Parlay Picks: Fulham vs Palace btts / Bournemouth vs Man City over 1.5 (+110)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #3
Sunday soccer picks in Serie A and La Liga.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction
8th vs 3rd meet here.
La Viola had only won 1 of 6 games but went into the break winners of 2 straight, 3-1 over Panathinaikos in the Conference League and 3-0 over Juventus in Serie A. With 2-1 and 3-2 losses before that they’ve had some high-scoring games of late.
La Dea had only 1 win in 7, then won 5-0, drew 0-0 and won 4-0 before losing 2-0 to Inter Milan in their last game.
Atalanta won 3-2 in September. Last year Fiorentina won 3/4 across Serie A and the Coppa Italia winning 3-2, 1-0 and 3-2, while Atalanta’s 1 win was 4-1. The BTTS is now 5-1.
Should be a good BTTS or just Over 1.5.
- Soccer Picks Today: Over 1.5
Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction
2nd Napoli hosts 9th AC Milan.
Napoli have been in a slide though winning just once in 7 games, but then also just losing once as well, piling up the draws at 1-5-1. Prior to last round’s 0–0 with Venezia the BTTS had gone 8-0 and they had scored in 13 straight.
AC Milan was winless in 4, with a 1-1 draw, and losses of 2-1, 2-1 and 2-1, but went into the break beating Lecce 3-2 and Como 2-1.
Much weaker opponents than Napoli. For AC, the BTTS & O2.5 is now 5-0 and BTTS 6-0. They’ve conceded in 6 straight and scored in 13/14.
Head-to-head AC Milan had been undefeated vs Napoli in 5 until this season when Napoli won 2-0.
Based on trends this could be a good BTTS or just ask Napoli to score.
- Soccer Picks Today: Napoli to score
Real Betis vs Sevilla Prediction
The odds are slightly favoring the Under here at -130 with Betis tipped to win this Seville derby at home at -115 odds.
Betis is 6th vs 10th for Sevilla with 8 points between them but both are in decent form.
Betis is especially flying being undefeated in 6 in all comps, scoring multiple goals in 5/6 and outscoring opponents 14-6. They’ve only lost twice in 12 games. With the way they’ve been scoring they have been playing to many Overs of late.
Sevilla has improved as the season has gone on and despite losing 1-0 to Bilbao in their last game, have only 2 losses in 10 and are 3-5-2, so have piled up the draws .. and the Unders … with Under 2.5 going 7-3 in that time. Only twice in 10 have they scored more than 1 goal, but only once have they allowed more than 1 too.
Earlier this season Sevilla won 1-0. Last year both games were 1-1. The Under 2.5 has gone 6-0 and the draw has cashed in 4/6. The Under 2.5 further back is 10-2. Up that to Under 3.5 and it’s 13-0.
It’s always tight in this derby, draws (+250) would offer the best value or we’ll take Under 3.5.
- Soccer Picks Today: Under 3.5
- Parlay Picks: Fiorentina vs Atalanta over 1.5 / Napoli to score / Betis vs Sevilla under 3.5 (+105)
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
