The international break has ended and we’re back to domestic league soccer this weekend so let’s break down the top soccer predictions and parlays from the Premier League, Bundesliga, Serie A and La Liga. This week I have 10 games in 4 parlays for my soccer picks today.
Soccer Picks and Parlays #1
Saturday in the EPL kicks off our soccer predictions.
Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction
Last season both won at home, Brighton 3-1 and Bournemouth 3-0.
This season, both have had some impressive results. Bournemouth lost 3-2 in their last game but previously had beaten Man City 2-1, drawn away to Villa 1-1 and beaten Arsenal 2-0. Overall, in all matches this season they’ve scored in 8/12 but then conceded in 11/12.
Brighton also has a win over Man City to their name in their last game, 2-1 and are 6th overall. They were close with Liverpool in back-to-back games losing 2-1 and 3-2 and their games always seem to see goals with BTTS & Over 2.5 being 8-1 of late in all matches. In all games this season they’ve scored in 13/14 and conceded in 10/14. While Brighton could have as many as 10 injured players here, none are top scorers Welbeck, Pedro or Rutter.
- Soccer Picks Today: Both Teams to Score
Man City vs Tottenham Prediction
Spurs recently beat City 2-1 in the Carabao Cup last month. Last year they drew 3-3 in Manchester in the EPL, and then City won 1-0 and 2-0 away in the FA Cup and EPL.
Away at the Etihad, Spurs do usually score with 3, 2 and 3 goals in their last 3 trips.
While you always expect City to score, their defense has been leaky all season and you’d have to think Spurs will have every chance of keeping that scoring trend going.
City are coming off 2-1, 4-1, 2-1 and 2-1 losses. At one point they had 1 loss in 50 games but have now sufffered 4 defeats in 11 days. This is their worst run since 2006 and the first time Pep has lost 4 straight games in his career. The questions around Pep’s future though can be put to rest for a while now after he signed a new contract. Kevin de Bruyne has returned to the lineup but they do have as many as 10 players questionable with injuries.
Spurs have suffered 2 recent losses themselves and 1 came to Ipswich their first win, 2-1 and 3-2 and with wins of 4-1 and 2-1 prior, their games have seen goals. In 17 games across all comps this season they’ve only failed to score twice. Win or lose Spurs will be looking for a response after a loss to Ipswich and this could be the time to get at City.
- Soccer Picks Today: Both Teams to Score
- Parlay Picks: BOU vs BRI btts / MCI vs TOT btts (+129)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #2
On to the next of our soccer picks and parlays in the Bundesliga and Serie A.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen Prediction
3rd Frankfurt hosts 8th Werder Bremen.
It was two draws last season between them, 2-2 and 1-1. The BTTS has hit in 5/6 and there’s been 2+ goals in 15 straight.
Let’s just look at this season and there’s plenty of reason to expect more goals in this game.
Frankfurt’s games average the most GPG at 4.20. Werder’s average the 4th-most at 3.80.
Werder is 8-2 to Over 1.5 and 2.5. Frankfurt is 10-0 to Over 1.5 and 7-3 to Over 2.5.
Frankfurt have scored the 2nd most goals with 26 in 10 games, but then also have given up 16. They’re 3rd in xG but 3rd-worst in xGA.
Werder have scored 17 and allowed 21, and sit mid-pack in both xG and xGA.
When it comes to shots on target Frankfurt is 5th and Werder 6th and Frankfurt has allowed the most shots on target against of any team in the Bundesliga.
80% of Frankfurt’s and 70% of Werder’s Bundesliga matches have seen BTTS.
In 16 games in all comps, Frankfurt have scored in 15 and in 14 straight. In 10/13 overall Werder matches, they too have scored.
- Soccer Picks Today: Both Teams to Score
Parma vs Atalanta Prediction
13th Parma hosts 2nd Atalanta.
Parma games have been a gold mine for BTTS bets as their games have seen the most, hitting 83% of the time in Serie A.
It hit in their last game, a 2-1 road win over Venezia and in 4/5. That win though is their only win in 10 games.
And they’ll face La Dea who have won 5 straight, are undefeated in 10, scored multiple goals in 8/9 and have allowed just 3 goals in 9 games. 2 of the league’s top 4 scorers also come from La Dea in Retegui and Lookman.
An Atalanta win looks much more likely, unless they rotate ahead of Tuesday’s UCL match with Young Boys.
In 15/17 overall Atalanta matches there’s been over 1.5 goals.
In 10/13 overall Parma matches there’s been over 1.5 goals.
- Soccer Picks Today: Over 1.5
- Parlay Pick: EF vs WB btts / PAR vs ATA over 1.5 (-128)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #3
Here’s a 3-game parlay for Saturday’s La Liga picks.
Atletico Madrid vs CD Alaves Prediction
This looks like an easy Atleti win but then Alaves won 2-0 in their last meeting but that was in Alaves. Atleti won 2-1 in Madrid and they’ve won the last 6 home meetings.
On the road in La Liga this season Alaves is 1-0-6 and have been outscored 15-7. Go back further and it’s just 4 road wins in 41 road league games.
It’s the opposite trend for Atleti, undefeated this season at 4-2-0 at home, outscoring opponents 12-2. Go back further and they’re 40-8-5 at home in all comps.
Atleti has won 4 straight, while keeping 3 clean sheets and should win here.
- Soccer Picks Today: Atletico Madrid to win
Las Palmas v Mallorca Prediction
Last year they played to a 1-1 draw in the Canary Islands and a 1-0 Mallorca win in Mallorca. They year prior it was 1-1 and 1-0 Las Palmas.
Only once in 10 recent meetings has this matchup produced more than 3 goals. Only 3 times in 10 have there been over 2.
This season Mallorca’s games have typically been low-scoring averaging 1.5 GPG, tied for the fewest and they’re 9-4 to Under 2.5. None of their games have seen 4 goals.
Las Palmas has been the opposite, at 2.9 GPG in their matches, 7-6 to Over 2.5 totals, and they have had 4 games see 4+ goals.
Las Palmas were flying before the international break with a run of 4 wins in 5 in all comps where they scored 13 goals (7 in 1 CDR game) and were only shutout away to Atleti.
Meanwhile, Mallorca are winless in 3 with a 1-0 loss, 1-0 loss, 0-0 draw. With a 1-0 win before that it’s been all Unders of late.
- Soccer Picks Today: Under 3.5
Celta Vigo vs Barcelona Prediction
Barca won 3-2 at home and 2-1 away last season but they don’t always have their way with Celta or in Vigo. The previous away games were 2-1 Vigo and 3-3. In fact Barca has only won 2/10 recent trips there.
They’re also off their worst performance of the season losing 1-0 away to Sociedad, snapping a run of 7 wins where they had scored 29 goals. It was the first time this season in any game where they failed to score. In 14 of 17 overall games they’ve scored multiple.
Celta started strong, tailed off, but then went into the break off a 5-1 Copa del Rey win and a 1-0 win and 2-2 draw in La Liga. In 7 home games they’ve scored in all but 1 vs Atletico Madrid.
- Soccer Picks Today: Over 1.5
- Parlay Picks: ATM win / LP vs MAL under 3.5 / CV vs BAR over 1.5 (-124)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #4
Here’s a 3-game parlay for this weekend’s soccer predictions in the EPL and Serie A.
Southampton vs Liverpool Prediction
Last placed Southampton who are 1-1-9 and who have been outscored 21-7 will host 1st placed Liverpool on Sunday. The Red are basically the complete opposite of Southampton being 9-1-1 and outscoring their opponents 21-6.
Southampton did hold Man City to just 1 goal a few games back before 3-2 and 1-0 wins, one of which was in the Carabao Cup though, before going into the break with a 2-0 loss to Wolves, giving Wolves their first win.
In their one meeting in the FA Cup last season Liverpool won 3-0 at home. If there’s a reason to not bet Liverpool it could be that close game Southampton had with City and the fact Liverpool have a massive clash with Real Madrid in the UCL next week.
Still, in all comps, Liverpool have 1 loss in 17, no losses in 13 (12 wins) have scored multiple goals in 5 straight and 13/15 and kept back-to-back clean sheets. Southampton, while not in the Prem last season, have won 1/24 EPL games going back over the years.
You’d expect a win by 2-3 for Liverpool but for the parlay, the moneyline will do.
- Soccer Picks Today: Liverpool to win
Como v Fiorentina Prediction
15th Como hosts 3rd Fiorentina.
Como has seen the 3rd-highest rate of BTTS at 67% while Fiorentia is not far behind, tied in 5th at 58%.
While the newcomers have scored in 9/13 overall matches this season, they have just 4 goals in their past 6 and 0 wins.
Meanwhile, Fiorentina are one of the hottest teams in Europe being 10-5-2 in all comps. Only a 2-1 loss to APOEL in the Conference League 2 games back breaks up a run of 8 wins.
In Serie A they’ve won 6 straight, have 0 losses in 8 and have clean sheets in 3/5.
It would have to be a Fiorentina win or simply to score. They also have the league’s 2nd leading scorer in Moise Kean.
- Soccer Picks Today: Fiorentina to score
Lazio vs Bologna Prediction
5th Lazio hosts 8th Bologna to round out our Serie A picks.
These have been among the highest BTTS teams this season with Lazio 2nd, 75% and Bologna 4th at 64%.
However, this has not always been the highest-scoring matchup. Bologna won 1-0 and 2-1 last season and the previous two scores were 0-0 and 1-0.
Bologna have won 3/4 with the 1 loss being in the UCL and in Serie A alone they’ve not lost in 9 games and scored in 8/9.
Lazio too are flying and have won 6 straight in all comps outscoring opponents 15-3. Season-long in all matches they’re 12-1-3 and have only failed to score a goal one time away to Juventus.
BTTS has hit in 3/4 recent Lazio games so is an option, or simply is asking Lazio to keep scoring in this parlay.
- Soccer Picks Today: Lazio to score
- Parlay Picks: LIV win / FIO score / LAZ score (+108)
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Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
