It’s another weekend of European soccer action taking place after a week of Champions League, Europa League and Conference League games as well. This weekend I’ve scoured the schedules across the EPL, Bundesliga, La Liga and Serie A and come up with a ton of games to break down. 15 games and bets combined into 4 parlays for this weekend’s soccer predictions, picks and parlays.
Soccer Picks and Parlays #1
Friday and Saturday in the EPL.
Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
It’s a very short turnaround for Forest who played on Monday vs Crystal Palace and won 1-0.
Meanwhile, Leicester played Saturday and went to Southampton and won 3-2.
It continued a trend that sees goals in Leicester games. In their 8 EPL games they’ve scored in 8/8, conceded in 7/8 and the BTTS is 7-1. The BTTS & Over 2.5 is 5-3.
- Soccer Picks Today: Leicester to score
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction
Villa played Bologna in the UCL on Tuesday and won 2-0.
Overall Villa has been on fire on all fronts this season. In all comps they are 9-2-1 with their only loss to Arsenal.
Oddly, the only 2 games in that time where they didn’t score were at home, a place they’ve scored in 47/50 games in all comps.
Bournemouth are coming off a huge shutout win over Arsenal this weekend (2-0) but in all comps have only 3 wins in 9 games this season. That was the only game they’ve kept a clean sheet in this season as well
Last season they drew 2-2 in Bournemouth and Villa won 3-1 at home. Home teams are 4-1-0 and have scored multiple goals in each of the past 5 meetings.
Gotta back a Villa win if you’re looking for a winner in your Premier League predictions, but there is short rest involved here too.
- Soccer Picks Today: Aston Villa to score
Man City vs Southampton Prediction
City played Sparta Prague in the UCL and ran wild for a 5-0 win.
Southampton are 1 of 4 teams still winless at 0-1-7 and have been outscored 18-6, putting them only above Wolves in 19th. They finally found some offense last week scoring twice, but still lost at home to to Leicester 3-2.
Southampton did beat City in the League Cup 2-0 at home in 2023, but other recent scores have been 4-1, 4-0 and 4-1 City.
Anything other than a convincing City win would be shocking. In all comps this season they are 10-3-0 and have won their last 4 games by a combined 14-3 margin.
Southampton has given up the 2nd highest xGA, the 3rd most shots and 4th most shots on target. So working in some some shot props for City overall or for certain players could bump up this price. So too would be asking City to score 3+.
- Soccer Picks Today: Man City to win and Score over 1.5
- Parlay Picks: LEI to score / AV to score / MCI win and score O1.5 (-130)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #2
Friday and Saturday in Serie A.
Torino vs Como Prediction
Friday afternoon’s Serie A matchup between Torino and Como could be an under-the-radar exciting game. Both teams have seen games that average among the highest scoring at 3.5 GPG (TOR) and 3.3 (COM).
Torino are 9th and can score, scoring 14, but have also given up 14, allowed the 2nd-highest xGA and have lost 3 straight—all by 3-2 scores. Add in a 3-2 win prior to those losses and 3-2 has hit in 4-straight Torino games in Serie A. They also lost a Coppa Italia match 2-1 so have lost 4 straight overall. In 10 games in all comps they’ve scored in 9 and conceded in 7.
Como may be 14th but they’re only 2 points back of Torino and are the team in better form at 2-2-1 in their last 5, only losing to Napoli in that time.
In 9 overall games, they have scored in 7/9, conceded in 9/9 and BTTS is 7-2. There’s been plenty of goals at both ends of late with scorelines of 1-1, 3-1, 3-2, 3-2 and 2-2.
Both have seen more Overs than Unders for 2.5 totals, lower that to 1.5 and Como is 7-1 and Torino 6-2.
- Soccer Picks Today: Over 1.5
Napoli vs Lecce Prediction
No need to overcomplicate this. Napoli are 6-1-1 and 1st and have only conceded 5 goals, tied in 2nd behind the 1 that Juve has allowed.
Lecce is way down in 19th, 1-2-5, outscored 18-3 and those 3 GF are the fewest in Serie A.
They give up the 2nd most shots on target and should be in for a long day vs the leaders. Lecce have been shut out in 4 straight road Serie A games and have 2 road wind in the league in 23 games. Those wins came against Sassuolo and Salernitana last year, 2 team no longer even in the league.
- Soccer Picks Today: Napoli to win
Atalanta vs Verona Prediction
Atalanta let me down on Wednesday failing to score vs Celtic in a 0-0 UCL draw.
But in Serie A their games have produced goals. 3.9 to be exact, the highest league average. They’ve scored the most goals, have the highest xG and the 2nd-most shots and shots on target and have the league’s top scorer in Retegui.
Verona’s games also see plenty of goals, 3.4, the 3rd most.
Both teams have gone a perfect 8-0 to Over 1.5 totals. Atalanta is 6-2 to Over 2.5 and Verona is 7-1.
La Dea are a bit inconsistent but have now not lost in 5 games and have 1 loss on 8. A game vs Verona could be a chance to extend that streak as Verona has 1 win in 5 games and it came vs Venezia, 2-1. Otherwise, the seas have been parting defensively in 3-0, 3-2, 3-2 and 2-1 losses in that time.
- Soccer Picks Today: Over 1.5
- Parlay Picks: TOR vs COM over 1.5 / NAP to win / ATA vs VER over 1.5 (+101)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #3
It’s a 3-game German Bundesliga parlay on Saturday.
Augsburg vs Dortmund Prediction
The 18 goals conceded by Augsburg is only fewer than the 21 given up by Holstein Kiel. They’ve conceded in all 7 games, but also scored in 5/7. The BTTS is 5-2, Over 1.5 is 7-0 and Over 2.5 is 7-0. In fact even Over 3.5 is 6-1.
Dortmund just met Real Madrid in the UCL, a finals rematch on Tuesday and despite an early 2-0 lead, things got ugly quickly as they went on to lose 5-2.
Dortmund on the season in all comps have scored in 10/11.
But the backdoor has been open, conceding in 8/11 and in each of the past 6.
- Soccer Picks Today: Dortmund to score
Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel Prediction
Kiel may not be last in the table, but they are 17th, just 1 point better off than Bochum, but do own the worst goal-difference of -12, being outscored 21-9.
A shaky backline is not a recipe for success against Stuttgart who have scored 15 goals in 7 Bundesliga games, but who have also given up plenty, allowing 15 as well.
Stuttgart’s defensive woes ended though on Tuesday as they shut out Juventus and scored vs one of the top defences in Europe, winning 1-0.
In 12 games in all comps, Stuttgart has only 2 shutouts and the other came vs a lower-tier side. But offensively, they’ve scored in 11/12 only failing to do so against Bayern Munich. However, Stuttgart hasn’t scored more than 1 goal in 4 games. I think that changes here vs Kiel who have given up 2+ goals in 7 straight.
- Soccer Picks Today: Stuttgart over 1.5
Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Werder hasn’t been bad on offence, scoring in 4/7 and 8 goals overall but have been shutout vs the better teams like Dortmund, Bayern and even Freiburg. Defense has been an issue where they’ve conceded in 6/7 and multiple in 4/7.
Much like last season, Leverkusen has been near-unbeatable, being 8-3-1 in all comps and have scored in every game. In the Bundelsiga they’ve lost just 1 of 28 games. They did draw away to Brest in the UEL on Wednesday, though and have allowed a goal in 5/6, even giving up 2 to Holstein Kiel.
In recent meetings, it’s been all Leverkusen winning 5-0, 3-0 and 3-2. They’re undefeated at 4-4-0 in 8.
Leverkusen could score 2 on their own, something they’ve done in 10/11 Bundesliga matches, but they do have the short rest. And Victor Boniface could miss out after being in a car accident last weekend.
- Soccer Picks Today: Over 1.5
- Parlay Picks: DOR to score / Stuttgart over 1.5 / WB vs BL over 1.5 (-114)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #4
2 Saturday games in La Liga and 1 in the EPL for this soccer parlay.
Valladolid vs Villarreal Prediction
Valladolid got a win last round, 3-2 on the road to Alaves but that’s just their 2nd win and they’re sitting in 18th. Despite scoring 3 last game, they still have only 8 GF on the year. Conceding multiple goals is nothing new as the 21 goals they’ve given up are the most in La Liga.
They’ve now given up multiple goals in 4 straight and their last win prior to last week was in Week 1.
Villarreal has cooled off a bit with just 2 wins in 5 but their 2 losses came vs Barca and Real Madrid. They’re still 4th overall, scoring and conceding 18, making their games the 2nd-highest scoring games at 3.6 GPG.
They’ve scored in 9/10 only failing vs Real Madrid, have conceded in 10/10 and the BTTS is naturally 9-1, with BTTS & Over 2.5 also being 7-3.
- Soccer Picks Today: Villarreal to score
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction
The biggest game of the weekend in Europe is clearly El Classico between 1st Barcelona and 2nd Real Madrid, separated by just 3 points.
Madrid have the slightly better defense giving up only 7 goals compared to Barca’s 10, but it’s Barcelona who have been scoring for fun with 33 goals, a whole 12 more than Madrid’s 21.
Last season Madrid took all 3 games winning 2-1 and 3-2 in La Liga and 4-1 in the Super Cup.
There’s been 3+ goals in each of the last 5 meetings (plus in 2 friendlies) and 3+ in 7/8.
Both are coming off big UCL wins this week, Madrid beating Dortmund 5-2 with a Vinicius Junior hat-trick and Barca beating Bayern Munich 4-1 with Raphinha scoring a hat-trick. I can easily see a goal or more (probably more) from both. Both teams are missing their starting keepers, Barca are the team in the bit better form, while Madrid haven’t lost at home since April 8, 2023.
- Soccer Picks Today: Both teams to score & Over 2.5
Brighton vs Wolves Prediction
With just those two games we’re only looking at around -114 odds or so.
So let’s look for something else simple to add in.
And let’s look no further than finding a way to bet against the EPL’s worst team in Wolves. Wolves did hang on til the very end last week before losing 2-1 to Man City, but that game was at home and they’re still winless at 0-1-7 and have been outscored 23-10.
Wolves still have just 1 win in 10 in all comps, back in August in the League Cup vs Burnley. That’s also the only time they’ve kept a clean sheet while also giving up multiple goals now in 6 straight, plus 2 or more in 10/11 recent EPL games.
The Seagulls are up in 5th, have won back-to-back games and still, in 10 games in all comps have only lost once (4-2 away to Chelsea) and have only failed to score once, 6 games back.
Last year the scores were mostly lower-scoring. Brighton won 4-1 in the EPL on the road, then they drew 0-0 at Brighton and Wolve won 1-0 at home in the FA Cup. This season we saw 5 goals though just last month with Brighton winning at home 3-2 in the League Cup.
Both teams have a ton of injuries with Brighton’s top scorer Danny Welbeck being one of them. Still, they have 7 other players who have found the back of the net too.
- Soccer Picks Today: Brighton to score
- Parlay Picks: VIL to score / RM vs BAR btts & O2.5 / BRI to score (+107)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #5
3 Sunday games in the Bundesliga and La Liga in these soccer predictions.
Bochum vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Anything other than a big Bayern win would be a shock. Bayern are 1st and have scored the most goals at 24 in 7 games.
Bochum are 18th, winless at 0-1-6 and have allowed the 3rd-most goals with 17.
Bayern have not always had it their way though vs Bochum. Bochum won at home 4-2 in 2022. And they won at home 3-2 in the last meeting last season. The 3 scores in between were 7-0, 3-0 and 7-0 Bayern. Having lost their last trip to Bochum, they’ll be fully focused here. Which is bad news for Bochum who are a much worse team this season than years past.
Bayern just got blown out 4-1 vs Barca on Wednesday in the UCL so should be looking for a big bounce-back here.
- Soccer Picks Today: Bayern to win and score over 1.5
Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim Prediction
9th Heidenheim hosts 14th Hoffenheim.
Both played on Thursday. Hoffenheim in the UEL where they lost 2-0 away to Porto.
And Heidenheim in the CL where they won away to Pafos 1-0.
All 7 of Hoffenheim’s games have seen 2+ goals in the Bundesliga and all 7 have seen BTTS, while 6/7 of Heidenheim’s have also seen 2 or more.
- Soccer Picks Today: Over 1.5
Real Betis vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
On Sunday, 6th Betis hosts 3rd Atletico Madrid. Both are among the top defenses with Betis giving up only 9 goals and Atletico just 6. Atleti have also yet to lose a game at 5-5-0.
Both have been Under teams this year. Atletico games averaging 2.2 GPG and being 6-4 to Under 2.5.
Betis games are averaging 1.9 GPG and being 7-3 to Under 2.5.
Bump that to 3.5 and Betis is 10-0 to the Under and Atleti 8-2.
This week Atletico played Lille in the UCL on Wednesday and lost 3-1 to Lille, the 2nd Madrid team to be taken down by Lille in the UCL.
And Betis played in the CL Thurs and drew Copenhagen 1-1.
Betis is usually a strong home team and Madrid is not as strong away from home. But they’re still undefeated on the year and vs Betis they’re 8-2-0 in the last 10 meetings.
There’s not been more than 3 goals in any of the past 4 meetings and only once has there been over 3 in the past 16.
- Soccer Picks Today: Under 3.5
- Parlay Picks: BM win and score over 1.5 / HEI vs HOF over 1.5 / RB vs ATM under 3.5 (-136)
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
