Weekend soccer is here after a busy UEL week. This weekend let’s look at 10 games from Saturday and Sunday across the EPL, Bundesliga, Serie A and La Liga for our weekend soccer best bets and parlays.
Soccer Picks and Parlays #1
Man City vs Burnley Prediction
Burnley actually are only 3 points worse than Man City with 4 points compared to 7. Their only clean sheet was vs Sunderland and they’ve been outscored 8-5. They crashed out of the EFL Cup this week losing 2-1 to Cardiff.
Man City drew 1-1 with Arsenal last week and then beat Huddersfield 2-0 in the EFL Cup this week. They’re back in the UCL next week against Monaco, but not until Wednesday. They’ve also won 13 straight in all comps vs Burnley.
Haaland has been absolutely on fire for months now. He’s scored in 6 straight games, 10/11 and a total of 16 goals in that time. He did come off vs Arsenal with an injury and missed the Cup game. However, he may not have played anyways, with Guardiola making 9 changes.
- Soccer Picks Today: Man City to win
Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland Prediction
Maybe not the sexiest matchup on paper, but one I think could be a sneaky candidate for some goals.
Newly-promoted Sunderland are up in 7th at 2-2-1 and have scored 6 goals in 5 games, while allowing 5.
Forest are down in 15th at just 1-2-2 and have scored 5, but have allowed 9. Their scores have been 3-1, 1-1, 3-0, 3-0 and 1-1. Ange Postecoglou is now in charge and on Wednesday in the Europa League, we saw a game that was akin to his time with Spurs last season, a 2-2 draw with Real Betis. They’ve yet to win with him as coach in 4 games, but this weekend will be his first home game in charge.
Igor Jesus is the hot hand for Forest right now scoring 4 goals (2 vs Swansea and 2 vs Betis) in his last 3 games.
- Soccer Picks Today: Forest to score
Tottenham vs Wolverhampton Prediction
Speaking of Tottenham, they’ve moved on from Ange nice, being 3rd in the EPL, at 3-1-1. Scoring 10 and allowing 3. They drew Brighton 2-2 last week beat Doncaster 3-0 in the EFL Cup this week. Last week they beat Villarreal 1-0 in the UCL. Next week, they do have to play Bodo/Glimt in the UCL and on Tuesday, so they could be looking ahead a bit. They also need to go to Norway.
I can’t bet on Wolves though who are still winless at 0-0-5, outscored 12-3 and sitting in 20th. They did get an EFL Cup win over Everton this week though, 2-0.
Both teams have some players coming back from injury. Solanke is back in training for Spurs, while Strand Larsen returned in the Cup game this week for Wolves.
There were high-scoring games last year with a 2-2 draw and 4-2 Wolves win. The BTTS & Over 2.5 is now 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. Spurs haven’t won any of the last 5 vs Wolves and have lost 5/7 in this matchup.
But then Wolves have been losing at HF and FT in 8/9 and have lost 8/9 EPL games going back to last season. Leeds had scored 1 goal in 4 games before exploding for 3 vs Wolves last week. If Wolves lost this week they’ll become just the 4th team in EPL history to lose their opening 6 games to start a season.
- Soccer Picks Today: Tottenham over 1.5
- Parlay Picks: MCI win / NF to score / TOT to win (+108) or add Haaland to score for (+174)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #2
Mallorca vs Alaves Prediction
This one always close. Last year it was 1-0 Alaves and 1-1. 12 of their last 13 matchups have gone under 2.5. 6/10 have gone Under 1.5.
This year Mallorca have still yet to win, and while their games average 2.7 GPG, it’s mostly cause they’ve conceded 11, while scoring 5. Alaves have been better at 2-2-2, scoring 6/allowing 6, and their games have average 2 GPG. This one is in Mallorca which is usually a tough trip, so I see another low-scoring outcome.
- Soccer Picks Today: Under 3.5
Juventus vs Atalanta Prediction
Neither team has lost yet. Juve 2nd at 3-1-0 and Atalanta 5th at 2-2-0. With 8GF/4GA and 9GF/3GA both have been good on both sides of the ball.
But Juve have given up 3, 4, and 1 goals in all comps when you count the UCL vs Dortmund. They have more UCL action next week vs Villarreal. It’s 12 goals scored in 5 overall comps though.
Juve struggled vs La Dea last season with a 1-1 draw and 4-0 loss. That 4-0 loss cost Thiago Motta his job as coach. The teams are an even 2 wins each and 5 draws in the last 9 meetings. Further, La Dea haven’t lost away to Juve in 7 trips. And … they’ve lost only 1/11 games with Juve in Serie A.
This possibly could be another draw or close game. Juve haven’t lost in 9 Serie A games, and the Under 2.5 is 8-2. Atalanta are undefeated in 10/11 Serie A games. Atalanta also have just 1 loss in 18 road Serie A games and have 11 clean sheets in that time.
If not the draw as a single bet, I also like Juve just to score for this parlay. They’ve scored 2+ goals in 6 straight home games. We could also look to the Under 3.5.
- Soccer Picks Today: Under 3.5
Cagliari vs Inter Milan Prediction
Last year Inter won 3-0 and 3-1 and Cagliari hasn’t won in 11 meetings since 2019. There’s also been 2+ goals in 6 straight and 25/26. Inter alone, have scored 2+ vs Cagliari in 6 straight.
Cagliari are actually higher in the table right now at 2-1-1, scoring 5, allowing 3. They were solid in the Coppa Italia this week swatting aside Frosinone 4-1.
Inter are 2-0-2, scoring 11 and allowing 7. No one has scored more, while only Torino and Lecce have conceded more. They do have UCL next week vs Slavia Praha and have been poor travellers lately winning only 3/10 road Serie A games.
- Soccer Picks Today: Over 1.5
- Parlay Picks: MAL vs ALA under 3.5 / JUV vs ATA under 3.5 / CAG vs Inter over 1.5 (-115)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #3
These two games are Sunday in the Bundesliga and they’re both games where I see some goals.
Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction
Both have seen among the highest GPG in the league. Both are 4-0 to Over 2.5 totals. Freiburg games average 4 GPG and Hoffenheim’s 4.5. Both have scored 8 goals in 4 games. Both are 3-1 to Over 3.5 totals too. Hoffenheim is 4-0 to BTTS & Over 2.5 props and Freiburg 3-1.
Freiburg has won their last 2 league games 3-1 and 3-0.
Hoffenheim lost 4-1 to Bayern last week but won 4-2 the week prior.
Freiburg also just won 2-1 in the UEL vs Basel this week.
And let’s add one more scoring stat. Last year it was 1-1 an 3-2 Freiburg and BTTS bets are 10-1 and BTTS & Over 2.5 is 8-3.
- Soccer Picks Today: BTTS
Koln vs Stuttgart Prediction
One of the surprise teams is Koln who are 4th, at 2-1-1. But they spent tons of money this offseason on new additions so maybe it’s not a shock. They’ve scored 9 and allowed 7 seeing their games average 4 GPG.
With 5GF/5GA Stuttgart’s games are lower scoring and they’re 8th at 2-0-2.
These teams are tied with 57 shots. That’s the joint 6th-most. Koln have just 17 on target, but the 20 for Stuttgart ranks 4th. Koln has given up the 3rd-most shot against with 63, while Stuttgart is much better giving up just 45.
Koln has been a great team to back goals with. Their offense looks strong with 6 different scorers, but the defense not so much. They’ll probably concede, but they should score at home. They’re also more rested being off all week while Stuttgart played in the UEL on Thursday winning 2-1 vs Celta Vigo.
- Soccer Picks Today: BTTS
- Parlay Picks: FRE vs HOF btts / KOL vs STU btts (+129)
Soccer Picks and Parlays #4
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla Prediction
The rest advantage is with Sevilla playing Tuesday vs Wednesday and they are big dogs in this game on the road. But I don’t think they should be such longshots.
It was 1-0 Sevilla and 1-1 last year but the BTTS is 4-1 in the last 5.
Sevilla haven’t been great at 2-1-3 and just lost 2-1 to Villarreal, but they can score. They’ve scored and conceded 10 goals so far. In their last 12 across all comp (pre-season included), the BTTS is 11-1. The only time it didn’t hit was a 2-0 win over Girona. They’ve scored in 14 straight, and 15/18 only failing vs Real Madrid in May in a game where they took a red card 12 minutes in.
Vallecano are 1-2-3, scoring 7, allowing 9 and just lost 3-2 to Atletico Madrid. They’ve conceded in every game, but scored in 3/5, only getting shut out on the road. If we look back at their last 17 across all comps, they’ve scored in 14.
BTTS alone is -105, or the Over 1.5 in a parlay at -260 look solid to me.
- Soccer Picks Today: BTTS
Elche va Celta Vigo Prediction
Celta always concede and they play Thursday in the UEL where they lost 2-1 to Stuttgart Vs Stuttgart.
Prior to Thursday, Celta lost 2-0 on MD1, but then drew 4 straight games 1-1. Last weekend they again drew 1-1 to Rayo Vallecano. That’s 5GF/7GA, 0 wins and 5 straight 1-1s in La Liga!
Elche are still 1/3 teams yet to lose alongside Real Madrid and Barcelona. They’re 2-4-0, scoring 8 and allowing 5 to be 5th.
The odds make this look like another draw with both at +165 and the draw +200. Elche have scored in all of their games while Celta have conceded in all of theirs.
- Soccer Picks Today: Elche to score
- Parlay Picks: RV vs SEV btts / ELC to score (+170)
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Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
