Top betting picks for soccer on Saturday, October 28, 2017.
Bayer Leverkusen WIN vs Cologne
Cologne have been the whipping boys of the Bundesliga this term and have yet to win a game. Their 0-2-7 record (3 goals for/17 allowed) leaves much to be desired. They are sorely lacking any form of offense without last year’s main striker Anthony Modeste (25 goals) who was loaned out to China, and will find themselves in a tough spot against Leverkusen who are 2-2-0 at home with 11 goals scored vs only 4 allowed. Leverkusen are riding a 4 match undefeated streak and are the 3rd highest scoring team in the German league. They have scored at least 2 goals in each of their past 5 home league games, while Cologne have given up at least 2 goals on their travels in 9 of their past 12 on the road.
There is nothing to convince us right now that anything will change this Saturday. Leverkusen -300.
Arsenal WIN vs Swansea
The Swans are only out of the Relegation Zone due to goal-difference, which isn’t saying much since they’ve only scored 6 times, and only twice on the road. That being said they’ve only conceded once on the road and do have an impressive road draw vs Tottenham (0-0) to their credit this season. That was back in September though and since then they have lost outright 4 of their past 5 EPL games, with their only win coming home to Huddersfield.
Arsenal have been far from perfect this season, but mostly their struggles have come on the road. Lucky for them they are playing this match at home where they are 4-0-3 with 11 goals scored and only 3 allowed. They are coming off a 5-2 thumping of Everton last weekend and a 2-1 League Cup win over Norwich City in mid-week. Alexander Lacazette has been on point with 5 goals scored and the offense was clicking on all cylinders last week.
Arsenal are too much at home for Swansea. Arsenal to win -400
Man City WIN vs West Brom
There’s not much to say here. Man City are flying and are by far the top team in England, and arguably across all of Europe. They score for fun, have scored 10 more goals than the next closest team in the EPL, are 4-0 on the road and have scored 11 goals compared to only conceding 1. Further more they have won the past 12 games vs West Brom and are undefeated in their last 15 vs The Baggies.
West Brom rarely get blown out and are yet to lose at home this year in 4 games, but their underwhelming attack (7 goals overall) hardly seems like a match for the free-scoring City. In fact if you look back West Brom have won exactly 3 of their past 21 EPL games.
Until City’s dominance ends we’ll keep taking them. Man City -400.
Watford or DRAW vs Stoke -350
Watford has been the surprise package of the Premier League this season ranking 6th after nine rounds. Their 15 goals scored also rank 6th in the league, though they have also been known to give up goals, allowing the joint 4th most goals allowed with 17. Watford’s form has been especially impressive with a win over Arsenal and a solid performance against Chelsea last week which saw them leading until the 71st minute and only falling behind in an eventual 4-2 defeat in the 87th.
Stoke have won exactly 2 of their past 16 road games in the EPL, are 0-1-3 on the road this season and have been outscored 11-4 on their travels. In 5 of their last 6 games overall in the league they have allowed at least 2 goals. Overall Stoke have allowed the most goals in the league with 20.
These squads are in complete opposite of forms, though Watford has had a leaky backline so we’ll play it safe with Watford Double Chance.
4 TEAMS +167 *1 unit
Odds Courtesy of Bet365