Let’s break down Tuesday’s Champions League picks for our PSG vs Dortmund prediction for their Leg 2 matchup on May 7 at 3:00 pm EST.
Dortmuns continue to pull off upsets making it this far and continued to do so in Leg 1 in Germany. Niclas Fullkrug’s 36’ minute goal proved to be the only goal and the winner giving Dortmund the advantage heading to Paris on Tuesday.
PSG had 58% possession, 14 shots and 3 shots on target. Dortmund has 13 shots and 4 on target.
PSG also lost defender Lucas Hernandez to an ACL injury in the game and he’ll miss out this week.
While Dortmund saw RB Julian Ryerson leave Leg 1 and not play this weekend. He could return, so too could Sebastian Haller, but then Karim Adeyemi got injured this weekend.
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PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
Here are the full odds for Tuesday’s PSG vs Dortmund Champions League matchup.
- PSG -200
DRAW +333 - Dortmund +550
- PSG to advance -150
- Dortmund to advance +110
- O2.5 -200
- U2.5 +162
- BTTS Yes -163
- BTTS No +120
Paris Saint-Germain vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head
It’s now the 4th meeting this year with these teams playing in the Group Stage. There, PSG won 2-0 in Paris and they drew 1-1 in Germany.
With last week’s 1-0 Dortmund win, it’s an even 1-1-1 and the Under 2.5 has gone 3-0.
In the 2020 UCL, scores were 2-1 Dortmund and 2-0 PSG.
PSG got a big help with no game this weekend, making their last Ligue 1 game a 3-3 draw two weekends ago versus Le Havre. With the Ligue 1 title wrapped up, all of their attention is on this game and they should be rested.
Last week’s loss gives them just 3 losses in 33 games, they’ve scored in 12/13 and 38/40, but BTTS is 6-1, so have been conceding as well.
In the Champions League only, PSG has scored in 10/11 games but has conceded in 8 and BTTS is 7-4.
On the Borussia Dortmund end, they were not as lucky to have the weekend off, but played at home to Augsburg and ran out to a 5-1 win. That cuts their deficit to 3 points behind RB Leipzig for top 4 in the Bundesliga, though they will still get to the UCL anyways with 5 spots going to Germany.
Dortmund had been winless in 2 prior to beating PSG last week but are now 9-1-3 in their last 13. Bets on BTTS have gone 6-1 and there’s been 2+ goals in 15/17. Dortmund has scored themselves in 16/17 and also in 22/25. If just looking at the UCL, Dortmund has scored in 9 straight, but BTTS is also 5-2 of late.
PSG vs Dortmund Prediction
Let’s look at some totals numbers when considering our PSG vs Dortmund prediction.
Only 2/11 Dortmund UCL games have seen over 3 goals and Under 2.5 is 8-3.
For PSG, Under 2.5 is only 5-6, but only 3/11 have seen 3+ goals.
Combine their 3 games against each other so far and there has only been 5 goals total.
PSG should score on their home field, they’ve done so in 24 straight games, but Dortmund have the most clean sheets in the UCL this term.
Let’s bet on another close game for the Champions League predictions. You could go Under 2.5 for better value, but to be safer, I’ll go under 3.5.
- Champions League Picks: Under 3.5 (-150)
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
