The championship UEFA Nations League Final kicks off at 3pm EST on Sunday, June 8 and we’re here to cover the best stats, props and Portugal vs Spain picks for the big game.
Portugal vs Spain Odds
- POR +270
- DRAW +280
- SPA -105
- POR for trophy +150
- SPA for trophy -200
- O2.5 -150
- U2.5 +120
Portugal vs Spain Head-to-Head
- Not played since 2022 in the UNL, a 1-1 draw and 1-0 Spain win
- Portugal has not beaten Spain in 6 games going back to 2010 and have only 2 wins in 15
- But there have been a ton of draws with Spain being 4-9-2 in that time
Portugal Preview
- Despite falling behind in the 2nd half 1-0, Portugal bounced back with goals from Conceicao and Ronaldo soon after to take the 2-1 win. They led in shots 17-9 and shots on target 6-5
- In the quarterfinals they lost in Leg 1 to Denmark 1-0, but then had a huge 5-2 win in Leg 2
- Since going out to France at the Euros, Portugal has only lost once in 9 UNL games
- However, they’re probably in the worst form of the 4 remaining teams. They did beat Denmark 5-2 in the quarters in Leg 2 but that was 3-2 at the end of regulation before they needed ET.
- In their last 6 games Portugal are 3-2-1, not bad but only 3 wins in 6, and in 3 of those games they only scored 0, 1, and 0 goals.
- Ronaldo averaged almost 5 shots per game in the Saudi League and in his 2 UNL games prior to the semis he averaged 4 shots per game. He had 7 shots and 2 on target last game
Spain Preview
- The score in the semis will make things look close with Spain winning 5-4 over France, but that game was 4-0 Spain and 4-1 and looking like an embarrassment for France before a late comeback. Les Bleues scored in the 79’, and own goal in the 84’ and a late one in the 93’.
- For Spain, each of Nico Williams, Merino, and Pedri scored, while Yamal had a brace.
- Spain had a wild quarterfinals with Netherlands drawing 2-2 and then winning 4-3
- Spain’s last loss was 20 games ago in March 2024, losing 1-0 to Colombia in a friendly. They’ve not lost a competitive game since March 2023
- Since the Colombia loss they’re 14-5-0 (winning 2 more in ET or PKs)
- Have scored multiple goals in 6 straight and 9/11
- Have also given up 4, 3, 2, 2 and 1 goals in their past 4
- For shots props, Nico Williams (5/3) and Lamine Yamal (5/2) piled up the shot attempts and shots on target last game
Nations League Final Picks
- It’s hard to go against this Spain team that just rarely loses at all to anyone
- Pick: Spain -105
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Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
