Orlando City vs Atlanta United Prediction – MLS Cup Playoffs Conference Semifinals

4th Orlando hosts the unlikely 9th Atlanta on Sunday at 3:30pm EST. See the odds, stats and our best Orlando City vs Atlanta United prediction here.

Orlando City vs Atlanta United Odds

  • Orlando -143
  • Draw +280
  • Atlanta +375

*Odds at Bet365

Orlando City vs Atlanta United Preview

Orlando played a tight Round One vs Charlotte winning 2-0, drawing 0-0 and losing in PKs and then drawing 1-1 and winning in PKs.

The Lions have been on a tear for some time and have only lost 6 times in 23 games in all comps. 2 of those losses came in PKs so regulation time losses have been even rarer. Orlando has now scored in 10/11 as well.

Atlanta just pulled off one of the biggest upsets in sports. At one point they had just 2 wins in 15 across all comps and were unlikely to even make the playoffs. But they ended the season with 2-1 wins over the the Red Bulls and Orlando. Then in the Wild Card Game they drew Montreal 2-2 and won in PKs.

That set up a huge showdown with Messi and Miami. A 2-1 loss in Game 1 where they were badly outplayed made it look like their time in the playoffs would be cut short. But then 2-1 and 3-2 wins in Games 2 and 3 saw them shock the world. 

Atlanta has now won 5/6. 

And bets on goals have been the way to go in Five Stripes games with the BTTS & Over 2.5 being 9-1 and BTTS 10-0.

Atlanta took both meetings this season 2-0 and 2-1. That improves Atlanta’s dominance over the Lions to 4-2-1 of late. 

Orlando is the likely team to advance here but if Atlanta can take down Miami, they can take down anyone in 1 game.

Orlando City vs Atlanta United Picks

The BTTS is about -160.

To slightly improve that with some simple shot props in a SGP let’s look to both teams’ leading scorers in Facundo Torres (ORL) and Saba Lobzjanidze (ATL).

Torres had 6 shots and 2 on target in his last game. Now in Gam2 vs Charlotte he was 0/0 but that is the only game in 27 that he’s not had at least 1 shot attempt. He’s had at least 1 shot on target in 9/11 games.

For Saba, he had 2 attempts, none on target last game, just the second time in 3rd time in 12 he’s failed to put 1 on frame. He’s had multiple shot attempts in 8 straight games and 1 or more in 25 straight. 

  • Orlando City vs Atlanta United Prediction: Both Teams to Score + Torres and Lobzhanidze 1+ shot attempt (-138) Bet365

The winner of this game meets the winner of the Hudson River Derby. See our NYCFC vs NYRB picks here.

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