Africa’s biggest tournament is here and we’re covering AFCON picks, parlays and best bets all tournament long. Read on for our Round of 16 Africa Cup of Nations predictions for today’s game between Morocco vs Tanzania.
Today’s game kicks off at 11am EST on Sunday, January 4, 2026.
Morocco won Group A at 2-1-0, scoring 6 and conceding just 1.
Tanzania advanced as one of the best 3rd place teams, 3rd in Group C, 0-2-1, scoring 3 and allowing 4.
AFCON Odds and Picks
Here are today’s odds for the Africa Cup of Nations Round of 16.
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Morocco | -700 |
| Draw | +650 |
| Tanzania | +2000 |
| Morocco to advance | -2500 |
| Tanzania to advance | +1200 |
| BTTS Yes / No | +200 / -275 |
| Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 | -154 / +120 |
Morocco vs Tanzania Preview
Morocco (Atlas Lions)
11th in FIFA Rankings.
They opened AFCON with a 2-0 win over Comoros, though it was 0-0 until Diaz and El Kaabi scored in the 55′ and 74′ minutes.
On MD2, they drew Mali 1-1, with both goals coming from PKs, first Diaz for Morocco in first-half stoppage time, then Sinayoko for Mali in the 64′. Morocco led in shots on target 5-1.
They finished with Group Stage with a straightforward win over Zambia winning 3-0. El Kaabi and Diaz scored in the first half and El Kaabi added a second in the second half. They pummelled Zambia with 18 shots and 8 on target, to just 4/0 for the Copper Bullets. In other news, they got a boost when captain Hakimi returned from injury as a second-half sub. Diaz and El Kaabi are 2/3 players in AFCON with 3 goals, while Diaz has 6 shots on target, tied for the 2nd-most.
Morocco are now undefeated in 20 overall matches, with just 4 of those games ended drawn in regulation. In 19/20 and 32/34 games they’ve scored. They’ve also kept clean sheets in 12/15.
Tanzania (Taifa Stars)
112th in FIFA Rankings.
Their first AFCON match saw them score, and was higher-scoring, but ended in defeat losing to Nigeria 2-1. They did push Nigeria, being tied 1-1 in the second half but conceded the winner just 2 minutes after equalizing.
On MD2 they took the lead through a Msuva PK, but saw Uganda tie it in the 80′ for a 1-1 draw. A stoppage time PK save, rescued a point in that game.
MD3 saw another 1-1 scoreline vs Tunisia. Tunisia opened the scoring with a PK in the 43′, only to see Tanzania tied it moments later in the 48′ from Salum.
Last month they had a wild 4-3 loss to Kuwait in a friendly, but this team usually plays in low-scoring games with the Under 2.5 being 7-2. They’re also winless in their last 9 games.
This is their first trip to the knockouts at AFCON despite not winning any games in the Group Stage.
Morocco vs Tanzania Head-to-Head
Tanzania has only won 1/8 all-time meetings and that was back in 2013. Morocco has won the other 7, each of the past 5 and both matches in 2025 by 1-0 and 2-0 scores. Other recent games in 2024 and 2023 were 3-0 and 2-0.
AFCON Prediction
Tanzania had some of the fewest shots on target in the Group Stage with 6—only 4 teams had fewer. That’s hard to envision changing vs the hosts. Morocco allowed the fewest shots on target against with just 3, while Tanzania gave up the 4th-most. Versus Morocco’s attack that generated the most shots (50), 3rd-most shots on target (20) and 4th-most goals (6), it should be a win for the Atlas Lions.
For players props, given they each have 3 goals and Diaz has scored in all 3 games, El Kaabi (-125) or Diaz (+160) to score are good bets all on their own.
- AFCON Picks: Morocco to win, score over 1.5, match goals under 4.5, Diaz 1+ shot on target (+110)
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Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
