On Thursday, March 21 at 3:45 pm EST at the OPAP Arena in Athens, Greece, Path C to the Euros sees Greece playing Kazakhstan with the winner playing Georgia or Luxembourg next week. We break down the best odds to bet for this Greece vs Kazakhstan prediction here.
Greece was 3rd in their Euro Qualifying Group, 4-1-3, with 14 goals scored and eight goals allowed, but were behind France and the Netherlands. They did win their Nations League Group in League C though to get here.
Kazakhstan was 4th in the Group Stage, 6-0-4, 16 goals scored, 12 goals allowed, and had a good showing but were still behind Denmark, Slovenia and Finland. They did beat Denmark, Finland and Northern Ireland though. And Kazakhstan won their division in League C of the Nations League to make the playoffs. This will be a huge opportunity as The Hawks have never made a major tournament.
Greece vs Kazakhstan Odds
Greece comes in heavily favored at -300 odds, with Kazakhstan longshots to win at +900.
- Greece -300
- Draw +400
- Kazakhstan +900
- Greece to advance -650
- Kazakhstan to advance +425
- Over 2.5 +110
- Under 2.5 -143
- BTTS Yes +162
- BTTS No -225
The most likely scorer in this game is Atlanta United’s Giorgos Giakoumakis at +150 odds who already has scored 4 goals in 3 MLS games in their short season. Biut Vangelis Pavlidis is also tied atop the Eredivisie scoring charts and should be considered in your Greece vs Kazakhstan props.
Greece vs Kazakhstan Head-to-Head
With only three all-time meetings and none since 2006, there is nothing relevant to compare here, but Greece is 3-0-0 all-time.
The Greeks have been solid at 3-1-1 in last their last and have only five losses in the last 18 games. They’ve scored in 13/18 and despite Greece being known for tighter and lower-scoring games, there have been 2+ goals in 12 of their last 18 and 10/13.
Kazakhstan is 7-0-3 in last their 10 and 14-1-7 in the last 22 (1 win in PKs). So they rarely draw with just two draws after regulation in that time and only two in 25 games going back further. The Hawks have scored in six straight game and also in 11/12.
Greece vs Kazakhstan Best Bets
Versus teams not named France and Netherlands, Greece was 4-0-0 and outscored opponents 12-1. They struggled against the top teams in the Group Stage but did draw France 2-2 away in their final game. Greece only has two home losses in 21 and those two losses were 1-0 against Netherlands and Spain.
Given how Kazakhstan performed in the Group Stage, perhaps -300 for Greece may be too short. The Hawks at +1.5 could be an option at -133 in the alternate spread, or Greece to edge out a close lower- scoring game in a SGP. Let’s back Greece to win and for there to be under four goals scored.
- Greece vs Kazakhstan Picks: Greece win + Under 4 goals same-game parlay (-138)
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
