The Copa America Semifinal continues on Wednesday, July 10 at 8pm EST between Los Cafereros and La Celeste. Let’s break down the match with our top Colombia vs Uruguay prediction below.
Colombia vs Uruguay Odds
- COL +187
- DRAW +190
- URU +180
- COL to adv -110
- URU to adv -110
- Over 2.5 +162
- Under 2.5 -200
- BTTS Yes +105
- BTTS No -143
Colombia Preview
- MD1: 2-1 win vs Paraguay
- MD2: 3-0 win vs Costa Rica
- MD3: 1-1 draw with Brazil
- QF: 5-0 win vs Panama
Versus Panama it was a Colombia onslaught that started in the 8’ minute with Jhon Cordoba scoring. James Rodriguez would score on a PK soon after in the 15’, followed by Luis Diaz in the 41’ for a 3-0 Colombia lead at the half.
And the hurt didn’t stop for Panama with more Colombian goals coming from Richard Rios in the 70’ and another PK in the 94’ by Miguel Borja. Final score 5-0.
Final Stats
- Poss: 52% COL
- Shots: 14-7 PAN
- SOT: 5-3 COL
- Corners: 4-2 COL
So while Panama actually doubled up Colombia in the shot attempts, Colombia had a 100% shooting percentage scoring on all 5 shots on target.
Uruguay Preview
- MD1: 3-1 win vs Panama
- MD2: 5-0 win vs Bolivia
- MD3: 1-0 win vs USA
- QF: 0-0 draw (4-2 win PKs) vs Brazil
In Uruguay vs Brazil it was a chippy 1st half with 18 fouls, 13 to Uruguay and 5 to Brazil.
Darwin Nunez came close with a header over the net, and then Brazil 35 seconds later saw Raphinha on a break with a chance but he is stopped by Sergio Rochet. There were only 2 shots on target, both from Brazil.
In the 2nd half, there was not much happening until a Nahitan Nandez red card in the 74’ minute, which saw Uruguay needing to hold on for penalties.
All told there were 51 combined fouls by the end, the most in the tournament.
Nandez misses out through suspension in the semi, while Ronald Araujo left injured last game and could miss out.
Colombia vs Uruguay Head-to-Head
- Their last meeting was in World Cup Qualifying in October and ended 2-2, with Colombia leading 2-1 until Uruguay ties it in the 91’ from a PK. Colombia took a red card in the 87’ and the fouls were 17 to Colombia and 10 to Uruguay but there were no yellow cards.
- In 2021 WCQ they drew 0-0
- In the 2021 Copa America they drew 0-0 with Colombia going on to win in PKs
- 4 of the past 5 meetings have ended in draws
- Colombia has only 1 win in regulation in the past 6 meetings
Colombia Stats
- Now undefeated in 27
- Before the Brazil draw they had won 10 straight
- Have outscored opponents 54-16 in tha
- Scored in all but 3 of those 27 and in 12 str
Uruguay Stats
- Won 5 straight and outscored oppopents 13-1
- Only 2 losses in 19 and 4 losses in 30
- Only not scored 6 times in 30
- Kept clean sheets in 5/6 and 8/11
Colombia vs Uruguay Prediction
- Goals: COL 1st (11) / URU 2nd (9)
- Shots: URU 1st / COL 8th
- SOT: URU 2nd / COL 5th
- xG: COL 2nd / URU 3rd
Defensively, despite playing more games at this point Uruguay are 1st in xGA (1.7) and Colombia second at 1.8.
Both have only allowed 9 shots on target, just behind the 8 of Mexico and Argentina.
Uruguay has still only allowed 1 goal all tournament and back on Matchday 1 in the final seconds, the 94’ minute vs Panama.
Darwin Nunez has 2 goals this tournament and shot totals of 5, 7, 1 and 3 so is always worth a look in SGPs to score or have 1-2 shots at least.
Colombia as well have only allowed 2 goals this tournament and just 1 in their last 3 games,
Colombia could be a little more rested having coasted by Panama, while Uruguay likely expended more energy vs Brazil and played down a man for 20 minutes.
Uruguay has probably looked a bit better this tournament but just barely and both have impressive draws with Brazil. It’s hard to go against a 27-game undefeated streak and these teams have a history of draws. Which is what I’ll bet here in the Copa America picks for Wednesday’s Colombia vs Uruguay prediction.
- Colombia vs Uruguay Prediction: Draw (+190)
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
