The second semifinal in the Champions League kicks off on Wednesday May 1 at 3:00 pm EST and we have the Borussia Dortmund vs PSG prediction here.
Last round Dortmund fell 2-1 in Spain to Atletico Madrid in Leg 1 of the quarterfinals but responded in a big way with a 4-2 win in Germany in Leg 2.
PSG too fell behind in Leg 1, losing at home 3-2 to Barcelona. In lLeg 2 they fell behind 1-0 early, but a Barca red card in the 29’ minute aided in them scoring the game’s next 4 goals and winning 4-1.
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Dortmund vs PSG Odds
Here are the full Champions League odds fro Dortmund vs PSG.
- Dortmund +175
- Draw +260
- PSG +145
- Dortmund to advance +200
- PSG to advance -275
- Over 2.5 -188
- Under 2.5 +150
- BTTS Yes -225
- BTTS No +162
Dortmund vs PSG Head-to-Head
As group stage opponents, these teams just played with PSG winning 2-0 in Paris in September and the teams drawing 1-1 in Germany in December.
Otherwise, they also played in the 2020 UCL, with both winning at home, Dortmund 2-1 and PSG 2-0. Prior to that, their next closest games were in 2010 Europa Leagur.
For Borussia Dortmund, a spot in the top 4 of germnay may be out of reach and maybe they were looking ahead this weekend as they lost 4-1 away to RB Leipzig. They also lost Mats Hummels to injury on defense, so that could be an injury to watch this week. Dortmund are now winless in 2 having drawn Leverkusen last week.
They may have just 2 wins in 4, but they are still 7-1-3 in their past 11. Bets on both teams scoring have gone 5-0 of late and there’s been at least 2+ goals in 14/15 of their games. Dortmund themselves have scored in 14/15 as well as in 20/23.
In the UCL only, Dortmund has scored in 8 straight, but BTTS is also 5-1 of late. But betting on Borussia Dortmund to win at home in the UCL has been a solid bet as they have just 1 home loss in the UCL in their past 10 games and only 2 in their past 21 dating back multiple seasons.
Paris Saint-Germain had a rather meaningless game versus 15th Le Havre on Sunday and were down 2-1 at half and went on to draw 3-3 but needed a late late 95’ minute goal to do so. They were later crowned Ligue 1 champs with Monaco losing to Lyon.
They too were likely looking ahead as the Ligue 1 title was basically and now is secured. PSG has only 2 losses in 32 games after that Le Havre game and have scored in 12 straight and 38/39.
But BTTS bets are 6-0 so they have also been conceding goals.
In the UCL only they’ve scored in all 10 games, but conceded in 7 and BTTS is 7-3, while BTTS + Over 2.5 is 5-5, but has hit in each of their past 3.
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Prediction
Dortmund keep upsetting the odds to get this far so you can’t count them out in your Borussia Dortmund vs PSG prediction. But they already failed to beat PSG in both Group Stage games.
Both teams didn’t win this weekend but didn’t “need” to either.
Dortmund have been a great home bet but both teams have been scoring and seeing BTTS bets cashing of late.
But at -225 we cant simply bet BTTS. Certainly the BTTS + Over 2.5 at -138 is an option. But maybe both teams score and it’s a tighter match. Only 2/10 Dortmund UCL games have seen over 3 goals and the Under 2.5 is 7-3.
For PSG Under 2.5 is only 4-6, but only 3/10 have seen 3+ goals. Furthermore, in the Group Stage there were only 4 combined goals between the teams in their 2 games.
Let’s create same-game parlay for our Champions League predictions in this game and bet on both to score and the Under. If you add Under 4, you’ll get longer odds of +225, or BTTS + Under 5 at +105 UCL odds.
- Champions League Picks: Both Teams to Score + Under 5 Goals (+105)
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.