Europe’s second-best trophy will be decided on Wednesday, May 22 at 3 pm EST, as Atalanta takes on Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League Final. Read on as we break down the top Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction for the final here.
In the semifinals, Atalanta drew away to Marseille in Leg 1, by a 1-1 score but easily took care of the French side in Leg 2 back in Italy, winning 3-0.
The Leverkusen trains rolls on, winning 2-0 away in Italy to Roma before suffering a scare back in Germany in Leg 2. Falling behind 2-0 with less than 10 minutes to go, it looked like the game may be headed to extra-time and that the Leverkusen undefeated streak would come to an end.
But it wasn’t meant to me. Roma suffered an own goal in the 82’ minute and Josip Stanisic scored deep into stoppage time to draw Bayer level at 2-2, see them through to the final and keep their undefeated in all comps this season going.
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Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds
Here are the full Europa League odds for Wednesday’s game.
- ATA (+320)
- DRAW (+270)
- BL (-125)
- ATA to lift trophy (+200)
- BL to lift trophy (-250)
- Over 2.5 (-110)
- Under 2.5 (-110)
- BTTS Yes (-125)
- BTTS No (-106)
Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head
This is just the third meeting between the teams with them meeting recently though, in the 2022 Europa League, where Atalanta won 3-2 at home and 1-0 away.
La Dea Look to Lock Up Top 5 in Serie A
Atalanta’s win on Saturday, 2-0 over Lecce gives them 66 points, 6 clear of Roma for 5th in Serie A, and should lock up the top five as their goal difference is far superior to Roma’s and there are only two games to go.
The win came after a dissapointing defeat in the Coppa Italia last week where they lost 1-0 to Juventus. Despite holding Juve to just 2 shots on target, Juve scored early on 1 of those 2 shots in the 4’ minute. Atalanta had 13 shot attempts, but 0 shots on target themselves.
That defeat is their only one though in 9 games and also the only time they’ve failed to score in those 9 games.
Go back further and Atalanta has just 4 defeats in 18 games and has scored in 16/19.
There aren’t many significant trends in goals conceded or Over/Unders. They’ve kept clean sheets in 3/7, but have just 5 in 21 games. The Over is 8-5 in their last 13 games but the Under is 4-3 in their last 7.
Leverkusen Undefeated Streak Now 51 Games
The Bundesliga season wrapped up on Saturday and Leverkusen won again, 3-1 at home to Augsburg. At 28-6-0 they became the first team to not lose a game in a Bundesliga season and finished 17 points clear of second place Stuttgart.
But in the bigger picture, Leverkusen are undefeated in 51 games in all comps and are in line for a historic treble if they can win the UEL and DFB Pokal titles coming up.
In all of those games, they’ve only been kept off the scoresheet once, back in January. They’ve now scored multiple goals in each of their last 6 games, scoring 18 and allowing just 6.
They have though conceded a goal in 6/8 and have needed lots of late game heroics to keep this streak going.
Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
In Leverkusen’s 51 games, they’ve scored 135 goals, scoring in all but 1, so you have to expect them to score. Atalanta could also be missing Rafael Toloi and Sead Kolasinac on defense.
You could look to Florian Wirtz on the scoring props, as he has 11 career goals for Leverkusen in this tournament.
Gianluca Scamacca has scored in each round of the knockouts for Atalanta, so could also be worth a bet in the Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction and picks for scoring props.
This is huge for Atalanta as Gian Piero Gasperini hasn’t won a trophy with La Dea despite overseeing plenty of success in eight years. Atalanta hasn’t won a major trophy since 1963.
I like both of these teams, and seeing either win would be great. Finals are often tight and Leverkusen often needs late goals to win, so the value is certainly on Atalanta at a much bigger price. Or maybe on the draw for the Europa League predictions.
Even a tight game could still see a goal from both. We could see 1-1 and the need for extra-time. When a team hasn’t lost in 51 games, that’s a trend I just can’t go against though when making soccer picks.
But bets on both teams to score have it in 5/7 of Leverkusen’s recent UEL games as well.
For a safer UEL best bet, I’d simply look to both teams scoring, -125 at Bet365 or -115 at Caesars, or for more value create a same-game parlay of BTTS + Bayer Leverkusen to lift the trophy at +160.
Europa League Picks: Both Teams to Score (-115) at Caesars
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
