Today’s Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid prediction is for Leg 1 of the Champions League semi-finals on Tuesday, April 30 at 3:00 pm EST.
Despite a less-than-stellar Bundesliga campaign, Bayern went to Arsenal in the quarterfinals and drew 2-2 in Leg 1, before edging out a tight 1-0 win in Leg 2 back in Germany
Real Madrid played out a wild 3-3 Leg 1 in Spain with Man City before also playing a tighter Leg 2 drawing 1-1. They then went to PKs and won 4-3 in England.
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Odds
Here are the full Champions League odds for this Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid matchup.
- Bayern +145
- Draw +260
- Real Madrid +175
- Bayern to advance +162
- Real Madrid to advance -225
- Over 2.5 -150
- Under 2.5 +120
- BTTS yes -175
- BTTS no +125
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Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head
These teams haven’t met since a 2019 friendly ICC game, with Bayern winning 3-1.
But they’ve played in the 2017 and 2018 UCL as well. In 2018 Madrid won 2-1 in Germany and they drew 2-2 in Spain. In 2017 Madrid won 2-1 in Germany and Bayern won 2-1 in Spain before Madrid went on to win 4-2 in extra-time.
For Bayern Munich, they beat Frankfurt 2-1 this weekend and have won 3 straight in the Bundesliga and look safe to at least finish 2nd, 5 points above 3rd place Stuttgart.
At home in the Bundesliga, Bayern is 13-1-2 and have outscored oppopnents 51-12.
They have now won 4 straight overall in all comps and are 8-2-2 in the last 12, scoring in all but 1 of those 12 and multiple goals in 12/13.
Bayern Munich not scoring at home is something that has only happened three times in 21 games, while they have only 1 loss in this year’s UCL at 7-2-1, keeping clean sheets in 4/6 recent games too.
The Bavarians have suffered only 2 UCL losses in 21 games and 0 home UCL losses in 15, with just 1 in 24 as well when considering your Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid predictions.
Meanwhile, Real Madrid will have 1 day of extra rest having played on Friday away to Real Sociedad and won 1-0, and were able to rest several starters with the La Liga title all but wrapped up.
Real Madrid has a long undefeated going with 0 losses in 18 games and just 1 loss in 40. They’ve also only failed to score in 1 of those 40 games. Los Blancos are still undefeated in this year’s UCL at 8-2-0, but BTTS bets have 7-3, so they have not often kept clean sheets. In their last 24 Champions League games they’ve only lost twice, and have scored in 23/24.
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Picks
We can get BTTS at -175 which doesn’t offer much. Adding Over 2.5 would be -110 which is a good option in the Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid prediction. Both teams are scoring, Bayern has a long undefeated home run going and Real Madrid a long undefeated run in general going, plus a long streak of scoring.
Bayern already had several injuries, and with Konrad Laimer and Matthijs de Ligt getting hurt this weekend and Jamal Musiala missing out, they could have some more injuries to consider.
We can also create a same-game parlay including Harry Kane in our Champions League picks. If Bayern is to have any success he should be involved. Kane leads the Bundesliga Golden Boot race with 35 goals.
He has scored 7 goals in the UCL and has he’s scored in 7/10 games in all comps for a total of 11 goals. When it comes to shots on target, he’s had at least 1 in 9/13 games and has multiple in 7/9.
- Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid prediction: Both Teams to Score + Harry Kane 1+ Shots on Target (-115)
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
