This weekend’s Serie A predictions and best bets come in the form of one three-game parlay for Matchday 30.
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction
AC Milan look to maintain 2nd place while Fiorentina are looking to crack the UEL spots being 4 points back of 6th.
Fiorentina is in good form. In all comps they are undefeated in six games and have just 1 loss in 8. But outside of a 0-0 draw vs Torino in that time, they have no other clean sheets in their last 12 games. This includes conceding 4 vs Maccabi Haifa in two Europa Conference League games, and goals to Empoli, Frosinone, Lecce and Udinese.
Their last game was postponed though as GM Joe Barone was rushed to the hospital prior to the Atalanta game before the break and later passed away. Head coach Vincenzo Italiano is also comtemplating a departure at the end of the season. That could be a distraction or a motivation, tough to say. But they also have the semifinals of the Coppa Italia coming up on Wednesday which is a much bigger match than this.
Now they get AC Milan, who have won 5 straight, outscoring opponents 12-4 in that time, who have scored in 27 straight games, have the 2nd most Serie A goals, 3rd highest xG and 3rd most shots on target. Milan will be missing the suspended LB Theo Hernandez through suspension but will have their scoring threats of Olivier Giroud, Rafael Leao ans Christian Pulisic available.
It was just 1-0 Milan earlier this season, but AC Milan hasn’t failed to score versus Fiorentina since 2019, a run of 10 games.
- Serie a Predictions: AC Milan to score
Lecce vs Roma Prediction
Nest in the Serie A predictions in this parlay is 13th place Lecce hosting 5th Roma.
Lecce have given up the 5th most goals and have the 4th worst xGA.
They got a 1-0 win last game but versus 20th place Salernitana. That’s juat their 3rd win in any match across their last 25 games and the first time in any of those games they kept a clean sheet.
So meeting an in-form Roma side looks like trouble. Roma has a 1-0 road loss to Brighton in UEL which they didn’t need to win, and a 4-2 home loss to Inter, as their only 2 losses in 13 games. And that Brighton loss is the only time they’ve failed to score in 14 games.
Roma won 2-1 in Rome in November and there have been goals usually between them with previous scores of 1-1, 2-1, 3-1, 4-0 as well. Obviously we’re going back deep here, but you have to look all the way back to 2000 to find the last time (22 games) that Roma hasn’t scored vs Lecce.
This is very likely a Roma win as a straight bet, but a definite bet fo them to score in this parlay for our soccer picks.
- Serie A Predictions: Roma to score
Inter Milan vs Empoli Prediction
And rounding out our best soccer picks today for this weekend’s Serie A predictions, it’s Inter Milan, 1st hosting Empoli 17th.
Inter have been good anywhere this season, but at home are 12-2-1 outscoring opps 37-8. While Empoli are 4-3-7 and have been outscored 23-13 on the road.
Empoli did shock Inter 1-0 in Milan last season so they should get Inter’s full attention this time. And Inter has won the last two games 3-0 and then 1-0 this season in Empoli.
Empoli have lost 3 straight, but all 1-0. And even though an Inter win looks likely, Empoli have only lost by 2 goals or more twice in their last 19 games, one by 2 and one by 3 and none in their past 10.
So let’s keep it easy and throw Inter moneyline into the parlay for our soccer picks and Serie A predictions.
- Serie A Predictions: Inter Milan win
- Serie A Parlay: AC Milan to score / Roma to score / Inter Milan to win (-109)
Ryan Métivier is a seasoned editor, writer and communications professional with years of experience in all fields. When it comes to covering sports, he’s written for numerous outlets and organizations including the OHL, CHL, SportsXpress, Sports Betting Dime, Cleveland.com, MassLive, FanSided and others.
While he’ll always cheer for his hometown Toronto teams, when it comes to betting, his only allegiance is his bankroll. Ryan specializes in global soccer, the NFL and the NHL, but if there is a bet to be made, he’ll make it. As the founder of Shred The Spread, Ryan focuses on combining storylines, trends, analytics and good bankroll management to creating simple bets that make sense.
When not making a case for why both teams will score in an MLS soccer match, he can be found focusing his efforts on fitness, attempting to learn Spanish, cooking or planning his travel adventure.
